Monday, June 30, 2014

Can New Hampshire Republicans take Jim Rubens seriously as a candidate for U. S. Senator?


New Hampshire U. S. Senate candidate Andy Martin is a recognized expert on Iraq and the Middle East. Andy lived in Iraq in 2003. Andy was a critic of the Bush/Cheney invasion, a critic of the occupation and critic of Barack Obama’s withdrawal. Andy did support the “surge” in 2007 as the only means of bringing some sanity to the conflict. Jim Rubens is now writing crack-pot guest columns for small town New Hampshire newspapers. Rubens suggests that Americans should essentially withdraw from the Middle East and allow a Muslim Caliphate to be established in the region between Syria and Iraq. This is not the first time Rubens has published grossly incompetent foreign policy views (another column is coming). Andy says Rubens can no longer be taken seriously as candidate for U. S. Senator.

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:

Republican U. S. Senate candidate Andy Martin says that Jim Rubens’ “foreign policy analysis” on Iraq is wacky

Andy says small town newspapers are publishing Ruben’s crackpot analysis of the Iraq conflict without any debate or response

Andy lived in Iraq in 2003 and is an expert on what went wrong

Andy says that despite being a nice man, Rubens cannot be taken seriously as a U. S. Senate candidate because Rubens’ views are on the far left of the Democratic Party

(Manchester, NH) (July 1, 2014) 

Dear Republican:

Whenever I start commenting about Jim Rubens I usually preface my remarks by saying I have met Mr. Rubens and he is a decent and honorable man. I do so again today before providing the following criticism of one of Mr. Rubens’ bizarre foreign policy pronouncements. My remarks are obviously a little long; but please bear with me as we consider serious issues and the danger to America posed by political candidates that spew forth opinions without any valid information to back them up.

Jim Rubens has published a column of his crackpot ideas and solutions for the Middle East. The same column has appeared in several small town newspapers (see the links below; the column is the same in each newspaper).

Before we analyze Rubens’ views on Iraq, let’s start with the obvious. Rubens has no foreign policy experience. He left local Hew Hampshire politics in 1998 and took a sixteen year vacation from public issues to make money as a Mitt Romney-style Wall Street stock speculator. Ok.

By comparison, I have extensive experience in the Middle East and lived in Iraq in 2003. While Jim Rubens has never published any analysis prior to becoming a candidate you can dig back into my published statements and find that I have consistently and accurately analyzed and predicted the future of that region.

1. Background to the 2003 Iraq invasion

At the bottom of these remarks is a separate synopsis of my foreign policy experience. I was in New York on September 11, 2001 and saw the attack on that city. Later I went downtown to help. I will never forget the chaos.

In response to 9/11 President Bush launched a counterattack against Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan. I strongly supported Bush’s actions. Al-Qaeda was headquartered in Afghanistan so it made sense to attack the rats’ nest.

But Bush had no experience in foreign policy and he soon came under the evil influence of Dick Chaney. Cheney wanted to attack Iraq because of Cheney’s priorities, not America’s. As recently as June, 2014, Cheney is still lying on Fox News and falsely claiming that Iraq was linked to 9/11. Cheney’s claim is a joke. Cheney manipulated Bush into retaliating against Iraq when Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11.

When it became obvious that Bush had been inveigled into attacking Iraq, I wrote against his plans and marched against the proposed invasion. I knew that an invasion of Iraq would be a disaster for the United States and would also endanger the survival of the State of Israel. In de facto exile today, Bush still believes that history will take a kinder view of his Iraq policy. Mr. Bush will be even more excoriated and reviled by history that he has been in the present because of his disastrous Iraq policy. Fortunately for Bush, his incompetence will always be laminated together with that of his successor, Barack Obama, the two most incompetent presidents in American history.

In a perverse way, Iraq’s criminal leadership, led by psychopath Saddam Hussein and his psychopathic sons, served our interests. Saddam was clearly a bulwark against expansion of Iranian power into southern Iraq. One could see that if Saddam fell, Iran would fill the vacuum. Saddam fell and Iran moved into southern Iraq.

It is important to restate these facts because Cheney continues to lie and continues to distort the reality of what existed in March, 2003 when the invasion of Iraq was launched. Bush had permitted a suicide mission for America to begin.

2. Andy drives into Iraq the week Saddam Hussein disappears

Hours after Saddam fell in 2003 I began preparations to go Baghdad. I arrived there a few days after the collapse. No one knew what would happen to Iraq. The United Nations had hundreds of trucks loaded with emergency supplies on the Jordanian border; they were unnecessary. Iraqis muddled through. There were claims of mass starvation. Rations were short, but few, if any, starved.

I will give Dick Cheney one correct prediction. He has always said that we would be “greeted as liberators.” And he was right. We were. Sadly, Bush/Cheney fumbled away the welcome we received and turned smiles into frowns. The Iraqi’s acquiescence to our invasion was tentative, provisional and based on a “show me” attitude as to what would come in the days ahead.

I was near the city of Kufa the day General Jay Garner arrived in Iraq (we had been living in Baghdad for weeks, but the U. S. said the city was too “dangerous” for our military commander.) The single biggest mistake Bush/Cheney made was removing General Garner and replacing him with Paul Bremer. Garner knew the Middle East. Bremer knew nothing.

3. Andy becomes unpopular in the Green Zone for highlighting American incompetence

I very soon began to criticize the incompetence of the occupation. With each passing day, the military command - under the control of “conservative” commissars from Washington - began to squander the good will America had received in April. The American response to everything was to build a wall, create a security perimeter and set up a checkpoint, when the opposite was needed.

Iraq slowly came back to life. But it was Iraqis restarting their own economic engines, not assistance from the Green Zone. Bush/Cheney did nothing but send their conservative munchkins into Iraq to remake the country.

I did what I had always done; I built a network of friends and informants across the city and later across the country. When my source in the hotel told me there were Ghurkas guarding the 13th floor, my lady friend and I left the hotel and moved into an apartment. Shortly thereafter the hotel was rocketed. Even in a “war zone,” normality soon returns. Almost every day I walked into downtown Baghdad to buy pastries, foods and other necessities, and to take the temperature of the city.

One reporter asked me if I was the unofficial “mayor of Baghdad.” I smiled.

When soldiers guarding the hotel asked me to help one of “my” puppies survive, I managed to find a veterinarian. The army colonel in charge of downtown Baghdad and I became friends. But at the top of the U. S. presence, in the “Green Zone,” which I quickly called the “Emerald City,” my criticism of Mr. Bremer did not win me any friends.

4. Andy supports the “surge” in 2007 as the only way to bring the horrible mistake to some conclusion

As the years dragged on and the United States had no genuine Iraq policy, the occupation, of course, turned into a disaster. I supported the “surge” in 2007 as the only way to restore order and create an exit strategy.  

At this point let me be crystal clear: I had vigorously and vehemently opposed the 2003 invasion. But once the invasion was over, in the unforgettable words of Colin Powell, “if you break it you own it.” And so, despite my strong opposition to the 2003 invasion, I was constantly forced to evaluate options for ending the occupation and continuing a policy that would allow Iraq to survive and evolve. That was why I supported the surge. Order had to be restored.

5. Andy opposes Barack Obama in 2008; where was Rubens?

I knew that Barack Obama would undo the tranquility America had finally established in Iraq. And so, as an analyst, I initially opposed Obama’s campaign for the presidency. Later, because the McCain campaign collapsed and the Republican Party became paralyzed by indecision and incompetence, by default I moved into the role of an anti-Obama strategist. And, the more prominent I became as an opponent of Obama, the greater the attacks he directed at me.

Where was Jim Rubens in 2008? (Hint: making money on Wall Street) Where was Bob Smith? (Hint: sadly, we know; Smith was engaged in some ditsy scheme in Florida). I was on the front lines of opposing Obama. My 2014 primary adversaries were “missing in action.”

6. Obama delivers Iraq to Islamic extremists on a silver platter

After taking office Obama delivered Iraq to Islamic extremists and Iranian ayatollahs. It was inevitable that if U. S. Forces fell below adequate levels, the country would shudder and eventually collapse. Which it has. Obama accepted Nouri Al-Maliki, originally enthroned during the Bush regency. Al-Maliki promptly began to destroy national unity on behalf of - surprise - Iran. (Al-Maliki had lived in Iran and was an Iranian stooge from the gitgo.)

7. Rubens’ analysis of the current situation in Iraq is idiotic

Jim Rubens has published comments in several New Hampshire newspapers saying Iraq is a lost cause and we should just walk away and accept the creation of a Muslim caliphate. Surprise! As I was writing these remarks, the “ISIS” terrorists “officially” proclaimed an Islamic caliphate (see Washington Post link below).

Adding to the Marx Brothers comedy aspects of matters in Baghdad, the Russians have now appeared with ancient fighter jets and helicopters. And Obama is still studying the situation.

If Rubens were a senator, his views on Iraq would be on the far left of the Democratic Party, in bed with Obama. Rubens talks of opposing “American boots on the ground.” Only he fears such a possibility; no one is advocating a new invasion. Rubens says the Shiites “do not want American troops in Iraq.” But contrary to Rubens’ claims, other groups do. Now the Shiites are demanding America return to Iraq with weapons and expertise. So Rubens is wrong again.

Already the Iraqi military is claiming that newly-arrived U. S. advisors have begun to have an impact on the Iraqi counterattack against ISIS forces. Jim Rubens is very misinformed, and he has been misinforming Granite State voters. Rubens’ comments on Iraq, like his remarks on other crucial issues, have betrayed that Rubens may be a “Republican” in name but his actual views fall on the far left of the Democratic Party.

8. A very important role of a U.s. Senator is to evaluate foreign policy

As I write these words Monday morning I don’t know what challenges a senator will face starting in 2015. Obviously, the Russians are a problem. China? A big problem. The newly-proclaimed “Islamic State?” A massive problem. Iran? You know.

What I do know is that when people go to Washington without any knowledge of or experience with foreign policy, intelligence and military affairs, they quickly fall under the control of lobbyists and special interests (as Scott Brown did in 2010).

You have just read my foregoing analysis. Whether you agree or disagree with my views or conclusions, obviously I have thought deeply about the problems we face in the Middle East. I have the experience to deal with them. Do Rubens, Smith and Brown have any credible experience?  No. Voting for one of them you are voting for inexperience and incompetence to determine the future of America’s foreign policy.

9. The New Hampshire and local media are robbing voters of a genuine primary debate over foreign policy

I welcome the opportunity to debate Rubens, Smith and Brown. But Brown, according to a report by Kathleen Ronayne in the Concord Monitor (see link below) is trying to “starve his opponents of oxygen.” Unfortunately, in starving his opponents of “oxygen,” and trying to deaden the primary campaign, Brown is also starving New Hampshire’s Republican and Independent voters of the real debate they deserve. Brown is impoverishing the political process and allowing incompetent opinions such as Rubens’ to flourish without any rejoinder.

Thanks to corrupt local media and the utterly corrupt and incompetent New Hampshire Republican Party leadership,      voters are being deprived of a genuine primary.

10. Rubens’ proposals would mean the end of the state of Israel
    
If Jim Rubens’ views and Scott Brown’s (and probably Bob Smith’s views as well) prevail in Washington, Israel is doomed. 

Because she is an ignoramus, Jennifer Horn loves to run around New Hampshire falsely attacking me as anti-Semitic. On the contrary, I am the only intelligent and informed supporter of Israel in the primary. Eleven (11) years ago, I predicted that if America invaded Iraq, both America and Israel would be losers. I was correct. Who is stronger today? Islamic extremists and Iran, or America and Israel?

I am a genuine supporter of Israel because I am familiar with the challenges Israel faces if it is to survive. If the Islamic extremists that Jim Rubens and many others want to ignore do establish a radical Islamic “state,” a “caliphate” in Syria and Iraq (which as of Sunday they now claim to have done), Israel could be doomed.

In some form or fashion the United States can muddle through a collapse of the Middle East. Israel does not have that option. If you are truly a supporter of Israel, then you need to send someone to Washington who understands the risks involved and the path to survival for Israel. I am the only candidate who can work to ensure the survival of Israel. It’s that simple.
    
11. Conclusion

To summarize, George Bush made a tragic miscalculation in 2003 when he invaded Iraq. Bush was betrayed by his closest associates. But by the time Bush left office, he had cleaned up much of his mess. He left a relatively stable situation behind for Barack Obama.

Obama took a stable situation and has created an even bigger mess and a much more dangerous situation than Bush. Obama’s incompetence, or intentions, have now led to the creation of an alleged radical Islamic “state” at the center of the Middle East. Cleaning up Obama’s mess will be a great challenge; we can’t trust people such as Rubens, Smith and Brown to take on this task.

I hope that you will think seriously about the foregoing facts and opinions. Once again, as it has done in the past, the New Hampshire Republican Party is defrauding Granite State voters by promoting candidates that are both manifestly unsuited to campaigning against Jeanne Shaheen and highly unlikely to vote in an informed and intelligent manner in Washington. Scott Brown knows nothing about foreign policy and Jim Rubens is a dingbat on the issue.

If you vote for one of my incompetent opponents, do not complain afterwards when you get incompetence in Washington. The lives of our men and women in uniform serving abroad, and the very survival of our way of life here at home, are in jeopardy.

I respectfully ask you to give my credentials and qualifications serious consideration.

Loyally,

Andy

P.S. After finishing thee above remarks I noticed that on Sunday Tom Friedman in the New York Times also debunked Rubens’ fallacious beliefs about Shiites and Sunnis (there is a link below).

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[How Andy became a foreign policy/military/intelligence and counterterrorism expert:

Andy has forty-nine years of experience in Asia, Southwest Asia and the Middle East; he is regarded overseas as one of America’s most respected independent foreign policy, military and intelligence analysts. He is known as an “over-the-horizon” expert who synthesizes conditions to prepare predictive opinions.

Andy first went to the Arab world in 1970 and has traveled to almost every country in that region. Andy was in Iran and Afghanistan during the hostage crisis in 1979-80. He lived in Iraq in 2003.

His analysis of the terrorist threat in Iran during 1979-80, and again in Iraq in 2003, were leading-edge predictions of what Americans faced in the future. Andy has lived in or been in Israel, Jordan, Libya, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, Viet-Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, Burma, Hong Kong and the United Kingdom.]

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ujntsman wasd reelected in November, 2008. A few monrths later he resigned to serve
his president,” Barack Obama. SDo whyh was it so terrible that Palin resigned and Hutsman served evenless of his secondterm? Can I say “double standard” again.

What os this show us? Whetyher thessue s resigfnaitonsor religion,th emedia shamlessly create double standards tgo favr theiiberal medioa pets (fulldisclosure; I am ot aliberalmedia pet).
MEDIA CONTACT: Andy Martin (603) 518-7310; CELL (603) 866-4343 or (917) 664-9329 E-MAIL:  AndyNewHampshire@aol.com
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LINKS TO THIS STORY (cut and paste the entire link below and not just the underlined portion):

http://www.seacoastonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20140625/OPINION/406250350/-1/NEWSMAP

http://www.sentinelsource.com/opinion/columnists/guest/another-middle-east-war-quagmire/article_d1c85bfd-228c-5bb5-a66c-7f6906c6c36c.html

http://www.concordmonitor.com/home/12504459-95/my-turn-bombing-isil-is-wrong-path-to-take-in-iraq

http://www.concordmonitor.com/news/campaignmonitor/12550725-95/capital-beat-in-us-senate-race-brown-looks-beyond-primary-to-general-election

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/militants-repel-iraqi-forces-attempt-to-recapture-tikrit/2014/06/29/84a63712-ff88-11e3-b8ff-89afd3fad6bd_story.html?hpid=z3

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/29/opinion/sunday/thomas-l-friedman-who-is-setting-the-sectarian-fires-in-the-middle-east.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&_r=0

ABOUT ANDY:

Andy is a legendary New Hampshire-based muckraker, author, Internet columnist, talk television pioneer, radio talk show host, broadcaster and media critic. Andy’s family immigrated to Manchester 100 years ago; today his home overlooks the Merrimack River and he lives around the corner from where he played as a small boy. He has forty-five years of background in radio and television. He is the author of “Obama: The Man Behind The Mask” [www.OrangeStatePress.com] and he produced the Internet film "Obama: The Hawaii’ Years” [www.BoycottHawaii.com]. Andy is the Executive Editor and publisher of the “Internet Powerhouse,” www.ContrarianCommentary.com. He comments on New Hampshire, national and international events with more than four decades of investigative and analytical experience both in the USA and around the world. For more, go to: www.AndyMartin.com

Andy has also been a leading corruption fighter in American politics and courts for over forty-five years and he is executive director of the National Anti-Corruption Policy Institute. He is currently sponsoring www.AmericaisReadyforReform.com. See also www.FirstRespondersOnline.us; www.EnglishforAmerica.org

He holds a Juris Doctor degree from the University of Illinois College of Law and is a former adjunct professor of law at the City University of New York (LaGuardia CC, Bronx CC).

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